Saturday, October 21, 2017

Trading Notes Updated

Trading Notes
Bulls make money, bears make money, and but PIGS get slaughtered" is an old Wall Street saying that warns traders against the danger of excessive greed. Disciplined traders always remove their own capital (initial investments) as fast as possible and risk only other people's money while watching TIME and trend energy. TIME is defined by cycles unique to each market, while energy is defined by DI and CAP in the Matrix.



Trading Notes can be accessed with a special key.

Trading Notes Sample: 07/03/17

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

#Matrix Update $SPY $TLT $GLD $SLV $UUP $FXE

The Matrix
The Matrix, an array that display the message of price, volume, leverage, and time, helps subscribers recognize buying and selling opportunities to buy or sell commodities, US treasury bonds, foreign exchange markets, and domestic and international equity markets.

The Matrix has been redesigned to display not only leverage but also price and volume alignment. Price and volume alignment anticipates future prices better than price and leverage alignment.

Gain access to the message of the market to trade like a professional today.


The Matrix



Select Market

Australian Dollar   British Pound   Canadian Dollar   Cocoa   Coffee   Copper   Corn   Cotton   Crude Oil   Euro   Heating Oil   Gasoline   Gold   Lean Hogs   Live Cattle   Lumber   Nasdaq 100   Natural Gas   Nikkei   Palladium   Platinum   Russell 2000   S&P 500   Silver   Soybeans   Sugar   Swiss Franc   US Dollar Index   US 10YR Bonds   US Treasury Bonds   Wheat   Yen


Insights is a forum that uses the markets as the ultimate teacher and provides unique perspective on capital market, economic, and geopolitical trends.

NEW Facebook Group has been created to encourage additional conversations about the the Matrix, Intermarket Analysis, Long-Term Cycle Concentrations & Directions, the cycle of Accumulation & Distribution - the secret weapon of past trading masters like Richard Wyckoff and Jesse Livermore, as well as other interesting trading concepts. Please join the ongoing discussion.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Friday, October 20, 2017

Black Monday's 30-Year Anniversary

News
The majority, driven by headline fear, was forecasting a 1929-style collapse, crisis, and various other forms of chaos. Tape readers that listened to the message of the market and ignored the majority's fear saw the secondary and primary trend flip from bearish to bullish by mid 1988. The rest is history.

Please review the computer's output from 1987 to 1990 to better understand how the majority fears were misplaced and how the minority of tape readers benefited by standing against them.

Headline: Black Monday anniversary: How the 2017 stock market compares with 1987

Is the stock market’s seemingly relentless 2017 rally anything like the 1987 run-up that ended 30 years ago Thursday with the most devastating one-day plunge in Wall Street history?

At first glance, investors might think so. And charts arguing the case have made the rounds from time to time. But on closer examination, many of those comparisons don’t hold water.

Here’s a look at a pair of charts from LPL Financial that illustrate the point.


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Canadian Dollar Review $FXE #Loonie

Canadian $ Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Canadian Dollar's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in the The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Upside alignment in the secondary and primary trend alignment defines an anemic multi-month rally. The bulls follow the tape as long as upside alignment exists and TIME permits. Smart money, a small group that recognizes that all markets follow the cycle of TIME, will slowly reduce their positions as the majority enters the trend.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Semiconductors Review $SOX #Semis

Semis
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Semiconductor's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in the The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Upside alignment in the secondary and primary trend alignment defines a powerful multi-month rally. The bulls follow the tape as long as upside alignment exists and TIME permits. Smart money, a small group that recognizes that all markets follow the cycle of TIME, is reducing their positions as an optimistic majority enter a rapidly aging trend.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

#Sentiment Review $SPX

Sentiment
The old American idiom of a day late and dollar short is an phrase easily applied to majority's ability to time (buy or sell) US stocks. The majority, influenced more by instinctual behavioral tendency of the individual to seek acceptance of an emotionally-driven crowd than act independently in the minority, views rising and falling stocks prices as bullish and bearish. This tendency that drives them chase when probabilities favor fading relegates the majority as the consistent bagholders of history's panics and trend changes.

Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria.”, John Templeton



Subscriber Comments



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Majority Focuses on Domestic Factors When Analyzing US Stocks

News
Sounds logical, so it must be true. The majority, which is just beginning to realize that the stock market is rallying, believes things like fundamentals, policies - largely domestic factors are the sole driver of US stocks. They generally ignore international capital flows.

Successful traders recognize early that non-linear trends are driven by human behavior, not mathematical relationships. Accelerating trends are notoriously difficult to trade for the majority. The majority, still neutral on stocks, may not be given an easy entry. If US stocks continue to defy logic, the majority will eventually capitulate and buy aggressive, thus, securing their role as bagholders of major trend transitions.

While the cycle of time defines extended secondary trends for US stocks,  it neither suggests a major top nor decline is imminent.  The cycle of TIME is far less extended for the primary trend.  In other words, an easy pullback may not develop despite the majority's neutrality towards stocks.

Headline: Treasury Secretary Mnuchin thinks a failure to pass tax reform will send stocks tumbling

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin thinks the stock market’s performance depends on tax reform.

“There is no question that the rally in the stock market has baked into it reasonably high expectations of us getting tax cuts and tax reform done,” Mnuchin told Politico’s Ben White in a podcast interview published Wednesday.


more

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.