Tuesday, August 23, 2016

08/19/16 #Russell2000 Chart #Free

Russell 2k Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Russell 2000 or small cap stocks' overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix and Review of Russell 2000 for subscribers.

US stocks, a trend better interpreted by studying the intentions of the invisible hand, continue to defy bearish expectations.

Subscriber Comments

Chart 1


Small cap stocks' focused bull opportunity has produced an impressive 36% annualized gain for the bulls since the fifth week of May (see COT Matrix 05/31/16). This opp recorded a 36% annualized gain after the first week of August. Disciplined bulls that booked partial profits and reduced risk in August are letting their profits run.

COT Matrix 05/31/16


A weekly close above resistance 123.30 to 124.63 (red zone) maintains the up impulse, while a close below the July gap from 117.09 to 117.47 (green zone) pauses it and favors at least a retest of the June swing low (chart 1). Disciplined traders book profits and tighten risk management as small cap test red zone resistance.

On Balance Volume, a crude measure of trend energy, defines accumulation. This favors the bulls.

Intermarket Analysis

Small to Large Cap Ratio (SLR)

The long-term trend oscillator (LTCO) defines a up impulse since fourth week of July (chart 2). The fresh up impulse supports continuation of the US stock rally lead by small caps. The small cap bulls control the trend until reversed by a bearish crossover. Compression, the final phase of the CEC cycle, generally anticipates this change.

Chart 2


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08/19/16 #Coffee Chart

Coffee Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Coffee's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix and Review of Coffee for subscribers.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

08/19/16 #Palladium Chart

Palladium Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Palladium's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix and Review of Palladium for subscribers.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

California's Minimum Wage Driving Force Behind Migration of Capital

News
California's minimum wage, the great leveler of humanity to the public rising the living wage to $20 in 2020, is also known to the minority willing to think outside society's norms as the jobs destroyer. Companies competing within the world economic rarely survive the burden (higher costs) of domestic policy agendas.




Headline: American Apparel is said to be considering moving manufacturing out of California

Struggling retailer American Apparel is eyeing a move out of its downtown Los Angeles manufacturing facility for a lower-wage part of the country, according to two sources familiar with the company.

The Los Angeles clothing maker, which emerged from bankruptcy in February, is contemplating a move to a state such as Tennessee, North Carolina or South Carolina, where the minimum wage is $7.25, said one source, who requested anonymity due to pending litigation. That would be a significant savings once California’s minimum wage climbs to $15 an hour in 2020.


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

08/19/16 #Cotton Chart

Cotton Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Cotton's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, defined and are discussed in the COT Matrix and Review of Cotton for subscribers.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

08/12/16 #SP500 Chart #Intermarket #PCR

S&P 500 Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

S&P500's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, defined and are discussed in the COT Matrix, Review of SP500, Review of Sentiment for subscribers.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.