Saturday, December 10, 2016

#ECB Extends and Tapers While Germany Recognizes Futility

News
While Draghi extended it's bond buying, a program designed support the failing European economy, he announced a subtle reduction or tapering after April. Draghi contends inflation is coming. Selling of the Euro after the announcement suggests dwindling confidence that central planning is doing anything more than delaying the inevitable collapse.

Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann did not support the ECB's decision. Clearly Germany anticipates the coming collapse of the Euro but will not comment on it directly.

Headline: ECB surprises by 'tapering' its massive bond-buying program from next April

The European Central Bank (ECB) announced a continuation of the bank's generous asset-buying program on Thursday, although a reduced pace of purchases is set to start from April next year.

Current asset purchases of 80 billion euros ($86 billion) a month were due to end in March 2017, but will now be extended until at least December 2017 and will be cut to 60 billion euros a month from April 2017, the bank said in a statement. Benchmark interest rates were left unchanged.


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12/09/16 #HeatingOil Chart $UHN

Heating Oil Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Heating Oil's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix and Review of Heating Oil for subscribers.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Friday, December 9, 2016

December Special: Content Key from Dec to Dec $5 #Matrix #Key

December Special: Dec-Dec $5

Save $5 on Insights key. Enhance your understanding of trends, leverage, and time through the message of the market. This message is tracked by computers, not human behavior.

Rising volatility is confusing both bulls and bears. This makes understanding the message of the market even more important. The message of the market, subtle and quiet in comparison to the thundering voices descending from the pulpit of opinions, is often hidden in plain sight by the daily distractions of life.

A subscription key gives you access the Matrix. The Matrix is an affordable, weekly publication that tracks price, leverage, and sentiment, the elements that define focus bull (buy) and bear (sell) opportunities of 33 major markets.  See Understanding the Matrix or contact us for further details.

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#Matrix Update $SPY $TLT $GLD $SLV $UUP $FXE

COT Matrix
The COT Matrix, an array that display the message of Price, Leverage (DI) & Sentiment (CAP), and Time, helps subscribers recognize buying and selling opportunities in agricultural commodities, bonds, energy, foreign exchange, commodities, precious metals, livestock, and domestic and international equity markets.

Investors/traders buy and sell focused bull and bear opportunities. Gain acesss to the message of the market to trade like a professional today.




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12/02/16 #Gold Chart $GLD Reposted #Free

Gold Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Gold's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments 

The message of the market (computer) consistently beats opinion.

Chart


Gold's focused bear opportunity produced 24% annualized return from the fourth week of November (see GLD Matrix). Disciplined bears will recover their initial investments as fast as possible.  A bullish message from the gold shares urges faster profit-taking.

Smart money, a small minority listening to the message of the market, recognized the decay of TIME as BuST rises above 0 and approaches 2. BrST = -0.9 defines a young trend.

GLD Matrix


A weekly close below the February 2016 from 112.35 to 112.98 supports the down impulse, while a close above the February 2015 gap from 116.54 to 117 could reverse it. A reversal favors testing of higher resistance.

On Balance Volume (OBV), a crude measure of trend energy, continues to suggest distribution. This supports the bears until reversed.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

12/2/16 #NaturalGas Chart $UNG

Natural Gas Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Natural gas's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Public Pension Fund Risk Insolvency As Interest Rates Rise

News
Decades of over promising, the guaranteeing of 8% returns for public pensions while largely investing in 'safe' government securities yielding significantly lower rates, will be followed by a long and painful period of under promising and anger.

Nowhere is the growing insolvency of America's pensions fund more obvious than in Dallas. Only a few days after the Mayor of Dallas filed a lawsuit to stop aggressive withdrawals from Dallas Police and Fire Pension fund, the Pension's boards has taken steps to at least delay a "run on the bank" that seen $500 million withdrawn since August.

While citizens of Dallas cheered the move, police officers and fighterfighters the action as a move to screw the retirees. Expect a similar drama will unfolding in many municipalities across America.

Headline: Dallas Police and Fire Pension Board ends run on the bank, stops $154M in withdrawals

The Dallas Police and Fire Pension System's Board of Trustees suspended lump-sum withdrawals from the pension fund Thursday, staving off a possible restraining order and stopping $154 million in withdrawal requests.

The system was set to pay out the weekly requests Friday. Pension officials said allowing the withdrawals would leave them without the liquid reserves required to sustain the $2.1 billion fund.

"Our situation is currently critical, and we took action," board chairman Sam Friar said.


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