Saturday, June 24, 2017

06/23/17 #Austrailian Dollar $FXA

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Aussie Dollar Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

The Aussie's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, defined and are discussed in the COT Matrix for subscribers.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Friday, June 23, 2017

Subscription From June to Dec 2017 = $60

Subscription from June to Dec 2017 = $60

Enhance your understanding of trends, leverage, and time through the message of the market in 2017. This message is tracked by computers, not human behavior.

Rising volatility is confusing both bulls and bears. This makes understanding the message of the market even more important. The message of the market, subtle and quiet in comparison to the thundering voices descending from the pulpit of opinions, is often hidden in plain sight by the daily distractions of life.

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#Matrix Update $SPY $TLT $GLD $SLV $UUP $FXE

The Matrix
The COT Matrix, an array that display the message of Price, Leverage (DI) & Sentiment (CAP), and Time, helps subscribers recognize buying and selling opportunities to buy or sell agricultural commodities, US treasury bonds, energy, foreign exchange markets, commodities, precious metals, livestock, lumber, and domestic and international equity markets.

Gain access to the message of the market to trade like a professional today.


The Matrix


Please consult Understanding The Matrix for further discussion.


Select Market

Australian Dollar   British Pound   Canadian Dollar   Cocoa   Coffee   Copper   Corn   Cotton   Crude Oil   Euro   Heating Oil   Gasoline   Gold   Lean Hogs   Live Cattle   Lumber   Nasdaq 100   Natural Gas   Nikkei   Palladium   Platinum   Russell 2000   S&P 500   Silver   Soybeans   Sugar   Swiss Franc   US Dollar Index   US 10YR Bonds   US Treasury Bonds   Wheat   Yen


Insights is a forum that uses the markets as the ultimate teacher and provides unique perspective on capital market, economic, and geopolitical trends.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Trading Notes Updated

Trading Notes
Bulls make money, bears make money, and but PIGS get slaughtered" is an old Wall Street saying that warns traders against the danger of excessive greed. Disciplined traders always remove their own capital (initial investments) as fast as possible and risk only other people's money while watching TIME and trend energy. TIME is defined by cycles unique to each market, while energy is defined by DI and CAP in the Matrix.



Trading Notes can be accessed with a special key.

Sample Trading Notes: 04/28/17

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

06/16/17 #Wheat Chart $WEAT #Free

Wheat
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Wheat's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Chart


Price and Volume Matrix

P LTCO and REV LTCO define a relatively steady down impulse. The staunch bulls have been on the wrong side of the trade since 2013. The bears dominate the trend until compression materializes (circles). Compression will come eventually. These trends are monitored weekly in Trading Notes.

Price and Leverage Matrix

Wheat has been focused bear opportunity since April This opp has recorded 248%, 7898%, 0% current, max, and min annualized returns for the bulls, respectively. Wheat has been one of the best performing shorts in 2017.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Bull Looking For Anwers Why Crude Is Falling

News
Price, volume and leverage flagged crude oil as far back as early May 2017. Few listened, now the bulls are looking for answers. They won't find them in one chart.





Headline: Oil prices have been nose-diving, and one chart explains why

In recent weeks, amid relative calm in the stock market, oil prices have slid back to their lowest level in a year. On Wednesday, WTI crude oil, the U.S. benchmark price fell to $42.13 a barrel, hitting its lowest since August 2016.

And it’s all about the most basic principle in economics: supply and demand. In the global oil markets right now there is simply too much supply.

This week’s slide came, counterintuitively, after a report earlier in the day which crude inventories fell more than expected. A decline in inventories would be seen as a good sign for oil prices stabilizing — or even rising — as low prices have been blamed on a glut of supply.


more

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

6/22/17 #Sentiment Model $SPX

Sentiment
The old American idiom of a day late and dollar short is an phrase easily applied to majority's ability to time (buy or sell) US stocks. The majority, influenced more by instinctual behavioral tendency of the individual to seek acceptance of an emotionally-driven crowd than act independently in the minority, views rising and falling stocks prices as bullish and bearish. This tendency that drives them chase when probabilities favor fading relegates the majority as the consistent bagholders of history's panics and trend changes.

Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria.”, John Templeton

The Sentiment model, an excellent standalone trading tool for US stocks include The Matrix, should be used by investors looking to outperform the buy-and-hold investment strategy. The model produces the following observations: (1) bull and bear phases have produced average annualized returns of 26% and 61% and 32% and -7% since 1992 and 2017; these returns significantly outperform buy-and-hold (B&H) average annualized returns of 8% and 7% over the same periods, and (2) stock returns are clearly not random as taught by popular academic theories.

Sentiment Model Output 2015 and 2016

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.